Zverev's superb week here in Madrid has considerably boosted his clay data, and now, he looks slightly better than Thiem on clay, on that basis.
Thiem is chasing his first Masters 1000 title and the Austrian will start the final as favorite.
'But, on the other hand, I haven't watched the match but I watched just the highlights and things like that.
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In my opinion, this head to head record is utterly irrelevant and simply based 12-month clay data, my model liked Zverev as a marginal [2.12] underdog, pricing him up as a [1.76] favourite.
"Obviously two weeks ago in Monte-Carlo, he killed me Love and 2".
Coincidentally, it was Thiem who last beat Nadal on clay, at last year's Rome Masters, shortly before the Spaniard rampaged to a 10th French Open title without dropping a set. "The 6'6" right-hander has yet to drop serve this week in Madrid, and he hasn't faced a break point since his third-round match against Argentina's Leonardo Mayer.
Zverev and Thiem have met five times previously, and it is the Austrian who has enjoyed the match up most, claiming the win on four of those occasions.
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For Dominic Thiem, Sunday's Mutua Madrid Open final against Alexander Zverev will be a chance to become a fully-fledged member of the game's current elite. I can not be happy that I lost to Thiem in Madrid.
After conceding an early break for 2-0, Thiem's only sniff came at 5-4 when he opened up 0-30 on the Zverev serve.
Last year's finalist has gradually improved on clay in the last two years and has to be considered among the favourites for this year's French Open, based on his improving form. I am three in the (ATP Race), which is the most important thing.
Interesting starts for (15) Berdych vs. Shapovalov who is finding his footing on clay, (6) Thiem vs. the Fognini-Monfils victor, (3) Dimitrov vs. Nishikori, (13) Sock vs. the former French runner-up Ferrer, the struggling (11) Djokovic vs. We're not playing a game where the differences are big or massive. "Now, I'm in the final again, which is incredible to me".
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"Having said this, I think I placed myself in a good position more or less".